원격상관을 이용한 동아시아 6월 강수의 예측 KCI

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dc.contributor.author 이강진 -
dc.contributor.author 권민호 -
dc.date.accessioned 2020-04-16T12:25:07Z -
dc.date.available 2020-04-16T12:25:07Z -
dc.date.created 2020-02-10 -
dc.date.issued 2016-12 -
dc.identifier.issn 1598-3560 -
dc.identifier.uri https://sciwatch.kiost.ac.kr/handle/2020.kiost/1383 -
dc.description.abstract The dynamical model forecasts using state-of-art general circulation models (GCMs) have some limitations to simulate the real climate system since they do not depend on the past history. One of the alternative methods to correct model errors is to use the canonical correlation analysis (CCA) correction method. CCA forecasts at the present time show better skill than dynamical model forecasts especially over the midlatitudes. Model outputs are adjusted based on the CCA modes between the model forecasts and the observations. This study builds a canonical correlation prediction model for subseasonal (June) precipitation. The predictors are circulation fields over western North Pacific from the Global Seasonal Forecasting System version 5 (GloSea5) and observed snow cover extent over Eurasia continent from Climate Data Record (CDR). The former is based on simultaneous teleconnection between the western North Pacific and the East Asia, and the latter on lagged teleconnection between the Eurasia continent and the East Asia. In addition, we suggest a technique for improving forecast skill by applying the ensemble canonical correlation (ECC) to individual canonical correlation predictions. -
dc.description.uri 2 -
dc.language Korean -
dc.publisher 한국기상학회 -
dc.title 원격상관을 이용한 동아시아 6월 강수의 예측 -
dc.title.alternative A Prediction of Precipitation Over East Asia for June Using Simultaneous and Lagged Teleconnection -
dc.type Article -
dc.citation.endPage 716 -
dc.citation.startPage 711 -
dc.citation.title 대기 -
dc.citation.volume 26 -
dc.citation.number 4 -
dc.contributor.alternativeName 이강진 -
dc.contributor.alternativeName 권민호 -
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitation 대기, v.26, no.4, pp.711 - 716 -
dc.identifier.kciid ART002187855 -
dc.description.journalClass 2 -
dc.description.isOpenAccess N -
dc.subject.keywordAuthor Monsoon precipitation -
dc.subject.keywordAuthor teleconnection -
dc.subject.keywordAuthor subseasonal forecast -
dc.subject.keywordAuthor canonical correlation analysis -
dc.subject.keywordAuthor ensemble prediction -
dc.description.journalRegisteredClass kci -
Appears in Collections:
Marine Environmental & Climate Research Division > Ocean Circulation Research Center > 1. Journal Articles
Marine Environmental & Climate Research Division > Ocean Climate Prediction Center > 1. Journal Articles
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