Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location SCIE SCOPUS

Cited 67 time in WEB OF SCIENCE Cited 70 time in Scopus
Title
Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location
Author(s)
Li, Tim; Kwon, MinHo; Zhao, Ming; Kug, Jong-Seong; Luo, Jing-Jia; Yu, Weidong
KIOST Author(s)
Kwon, Minho(권민호)
Publication Year
2010-11-03
Abstract
A global high-resolution (similar to 40 km) atmospheric general circulation model (ECHAM5 T319) is used to investigate the change of tropical cyclone frequency in the North Pacific under global warming. A time slice method is used in which sea surface temperature fields derived from a lower-resolution coupled model run under the 20C3M (in which historical greenhouse gases in 20th century were prescribed as a radiative forcing) and A1B (in which carbon dioxide concentration was increased 1% each year from 2000 to 2070 and then was kept constant) scenarios are specified as the lower boundary conditions to simulate the current and the future warming climate, respectively. A significant shift is found in the location of tropical cyclones from the western to central Pacific. The shift to more tropical cyclones in the central and less in the western Pacific is not attributable to a change in atmospheric static stability, but to a change in the variance of tropical synoptic-scale perturbations associated with a change in the background vertical wind shear and boundary layer divergence. Citation: Li, T., M. Kwon, M. Zhao, J.-S. Kug, J.-J. Luo, and W. Yu (2010), Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L21804, doi:10.1029/2010GL045124.
ISSN
0094-8276
URI
https://sciwatch.kiost.ac.kr/handle/2020.kiost/4008
DOI
10.1029/2010GL045124
Bibliographic Citation
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, v.37, 2010
Publisher
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
Subject
WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC; CLIMATE-CHANGE; FREQUENCY; VARIABILITY; INTENSITY; SIMULATION; ORIGIN; MODEL; WAVES; GCM
Type
Article
Language
English
Document Type
Article
Publisher
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
Related Researcher
Research Interests

climate dynamics,climate prediction,기후역학,기후예측

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