Development of an Air-Water Temperature Relationship Model to Predict Climate-Induced Future Water Temperature in Estuaries SCIE SCOPUS

Cited 13 time in WEB OF SCIENCE Cited 20 time in Scopus
Title
Development of an Air-Water Temperature Relationship Model to Predict Climate-Induced Future Water Temperature in Estuaries
Author(s)
Cho, Hong-Yeon; Lee, Khil-Ha
KIOST Author(s)
Cho, Hong Yeon(조홍연)
Publication Year
2012-05
Abstract
To predict climate-induced change in aquatic environments, it is necessary to understand the thermal constraints of various fish species and to understand the timing of current and projected coastal temperatures. This paper presents a newly developed model of the relationship between air and water temperature that was constructed on the basis of harmonic analysis. The model is novel because it requires only a single variable (air temperature) to predict water temperature and captures the hysteresis patterns of the rising and falling limbs and their historic memories. The model was calibrated and validated with data collected from monitoring buoys in Mikawa Bay, Japan between 2005 and 2009. The model validation showed a good performance with a root mean squared error (RMSE) in the range of 0.8-1.0 degrees C. It is especially encouraging that the suggested model can predict water temperature with a reasonable level of accuracy once an acceptable relationship between air temperature and water temperature has been constructed from previously measured data. DOI:10.1061/(ASCE)EE.1943-7870.0000499. (C) 2012 American Society of Civil Engineers.
ISSN
0733-9372
URI
https://sciwatch.kiost.ac.kr/handle/2020.kiost/3594
DOI
10.1061/(ASCE)EE.1943-7870.0000499
Bibliographic Citation
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING-ASCE, v.138, no.5, pp.570 - 577, 2012
Publisher
ASCE-AMER SOC CIVIL ENGINEERS
Subject
STREAM TEMPERATURES; UNITED-STATES; QUALITY; IMPACT
Keywords
Air temperature; Water temperature; Climate change; Harmonic analysis; Hysteresis
Type
Article
Language
English
Document Type
Article
Publisher
ASCE-AMER SOC CIVIL ENGINEERS
Related Researcher
Research Interests

coastal numerical modeling,statistical modeling,uncertainty analysis,연안수치모델링,해양통계모델링,불확실성 분석

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