Decision-Tree-Based Classification of Lifetime Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones in the Tropical Western North Pacific SCIE SCOPUS
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.author | Kim, Sunghun | - |
dc.contributor.author | Moon, Il-Ju | - |
dc.contributor.author | Won, Seong-Hee | - |
dc.contributor.author | Kang, Hyoun-Woo | - |
dc.contributor.author | Kang, Sok Kuh | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-07-06T06:50:01Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2021-07-06T06:50:01Z | - |
dc.date.created | 2021-07-06 | - |
dc.date.issued | 2021-06 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 2073-4433 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | https://sciwatch.kiost.ac.kr/handle/2020.kiost/41484 | - |
dc.description.abstract | The National Typhoon Center of the Korea Meteorological Administration developed a statistical-dynamical typhoon intensity prediction model for the western North Pacific, the CSTIPS-DAT, using a track-pattern clustering technique. The model led to significant improvements in the prediction of the intensity of tropical cyclones (TCs). However, relatively large errors have been found in a cluster located in the tropical western North Pacific (TWNP), mainly because of the large predictand variance. In this study, a decision-tree algorithm was employed to reduce the predictand variance for TCs in the TWNP. The tree predicts the likelihood of a TC reaching a maximum lifetime intensity greater than 70 knots at its genesis. The developed four rules suggest that the pre-existing ocean thermal structures along the track and the latitude of a TC's position play significant roles in the determination of its intensity. The developed decision-tree classification exhibited 90.0% and 80.5% accuracy in the training and test periods, respectively. These results suggest that intensity prediction with the CSTIPS-DAT can be further improved by developing independent statistical models for TC groups classified by the present algorithm. | - |
dc.description.uri | 1 | - |
dc.language | English | - |
dc.publisher | MDPI | - |
dc.subject | RAPID INTENSIFICATION | - |
dc.subject | POTENTIAL INTENSITY | - |
dc.subject | INDEX | - |
dc.subject | ATLANTIC | - |
dc.subject | TRACK | - |
dc.title | Decision-Tree-Based Classification of Lifetime Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones in the Tropical Western North Pacific | - |
dc.type | Article | - |
dc.citation.title | ATMOSPHERE | - |
dc.citation.volume | 12 | - |
dc.citation.number | 7 | - |
dc.contributor.alternativeName | 김성훈 | - |
dc.contributor.alternativeName | 강현우 | - |
dc.contributor.alternativeName | 강석구 | - |
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitation | ATMOSPHERE, v.12, no.7 | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.3390/atmos12070802 | - |
dc.identifier.scopusid | 2-s2.0-85109192439 | - |
dc.identifier.wosid | 000675983100001 | - |
dc.type.docType | Article | - |
dc.description.journalClass | 1 | - |
dc.description.isOpenAccess | N | - |
dc.subject.keywordPlus | RAPID INTENSIFICATION | - |
dc.subject.keywordPlus | POTENTIAL INTENSITY | - |
dc.subject.keywordPlus | INDEX | - |
dc.subject.keywordPlus | ATLANTIC | - |
dc.subject.keywordPlus | TRACK | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | tropical cyclone | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | depth-averaged temperature | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | decision tree | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | lifetime maximum intensity | - |
dc.relation.journalWebOfScienceCategory | Environmental Sciences | - |
dc.relation.journalWebOfScienceCategory | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences | - |
dc.description.journalRegisteredClass | scie | - |
dc.description.journalRegisteredClass | scopus | - |
dc.relation.journalResearchArea | Environmental Sciences & Ecology | - |
dc.relation.journalResearchArea | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences | - |