원격상관을 이용한 북동아시아 여름철 강수량 예측
KCI
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Title
- 원격상관을 이용한 북동아시아 여름철 강수량 예측
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Alternative Title
- A Prediction of Northeast Asian Summer Precipitation Using Teleconnection
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Author(s)
- 이강진; 권민호
- KIOST Author(s)
- Kwon, Min Ho(권민호)
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Alternative Author(s)
- 이강진; 권민호
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Publication Year
- 2015-03
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Abstract
- Even though state-of-the-art general circulation models is improved step by step, the seasonal predictability of the East Asian summer monsoon still remains poor. In contrast, the seasonal predictability of western North Pacific and Indian monsoon region using dynamic models is relatively high. This study builds canonical correlation analysis model for seasonal prediction using wind fields over western North Pacific and Indian Ocean from the Global Seasonal Forecasting System version 5 (GloSea5), and then assesses the predictability of so-called hybrid model. In addition, we suggest improvement method for forecast skill by introducing the lagged ensemble technique.
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ISSN
- 1598-3560
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URI
- https://sciwatch.kiost.ac.kr/handle/2020.kiost/1555
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Bibliographic Citation
- 대기, v.25, no.1, pp.179 - 183, 2015
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Publisher
- 한국기상학회
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Keywords
- Monsoon; seasonal prediction; canonical correlation analysis; lagged ensemble technique
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Type
- Article
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Language
- Korean
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