원격상관을 이용한 북동아시아 여름철 강수량 예측 KCI

Title
원격상관을 이용한 북동아시아 여름철 강수량 예측
Alternative Title
A Prediction of Northeast Asian Summer Precipitation Using Teleconnection
Author(s)
이강진; 권민호
KIOST Author(s)
Lee, Kang Jin(이강진)Kwon, Minho(권민호)
Alternative Author(s)
이강진; 권민호
Publication Year
2015-03
Abstract
Even though state-of-the-art general circulation models is improved step by step, the seasonal predictability of the East Asian summer monsoon still remains poor. In contrast, the seasonal predictability of western North Pacific and Indian monsoon region using dynamic models is relatively high. This study builds canonical correlation analysis model for seasonal prediction using wind fields over western North Pacific and Indian Ocean from the Global Seasonal Forecasting System version 5 (GloSea5), and then assesses the predictability of so-called hybrid model. In addition, we suggest improvement method for forecast skill by introducing the lagged ensemble technique.
ISSN
1598-3560
URI
https://sciwatch.kiost.ac.kr/handle/2020.kiost/1555
Bibliographic Citation
대기, v.25, no.1, pp.179 - 183, 2015
Publisher
한국기상학회
Keywords
Monsoon; seasonal prediction; canonical correlation analysis; lagged ensemble technique
Type
Article
Language
Korean
Publisher
한국기상학회
Related Researcher
Research Interests

climate dynamics,climate prediction,기후역학,기후예측

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