기후변화에 따른 동중국해 해양 순환 변화 예측에 대한 수치 실험 연구 SCOPUS KCI

Title
기후변화에 따른 동중국해 해양 순환 변화 예측에 대한 수치 실험 연구
Alternative Title
Numerical Experiment of Environmental Change in the East China Sea under Climate Change
Author(s)
민홍식; 김철호
Publication Year
2012
Abstract
We simulated and compared present and future ocean circulation in the East China Sea using an East Asia Regional Ocean model. Mean climate states for 1990~1999 and 2030~2039 were used as surface conditions for simulations of present and future ocean circulation, which were derived from the simulations of three different global climate models, ECHAM5-MPI, GFDL-CM2.0 and MIROC3.2_hires, for the 20th century and those of 21st century as projected by the IPCC SRES A1B. East Asia Regional Ocean model simulated the detailed patterns of temperature, salinity and current fields under present and future climate conditions and their changes instead of the simple structures of global climate models. To some extent, there are consistent ocean circulation changes derived from the three pairs corresponding to the global climate model in so much as the temperature increases not only in winter but summer at both the surface and bottom and that temperature and salinity changes are prominent near the Chinese coast and in the Changjiang bank. However, the simulated circulations are different among each other depending on the prescribed atmospheric conditions not only under present climate but also with regard to future climate conditions. There is not a coincident tendency in ocean circulation changes between present and future simulations derived from the three pairs. This suggests that more simulations with different pairs are needed.
ISSN
1598-141X
URI
https://sciwatch.kiost.ac.kr/handle/2019.kiost/3704
DOI
10.4217/OPR.2012.34.4.431
Bibliographic Citation
Ocean and Polar Research, v.34, no.4, pp.431 - 444, 2012
Keywords
East China Sea; East Asia Regional Ocean model; ocean circulation; global climate model
Type
Article
Language
Korean
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